by cowpatz » Wed Sep 02, 2009 8:59 am
This is the natural progression for the A380. The current configurations are just to attract passengers and have them accept the aircraft type. The economics of the current configurations just don't stack up...too much wasted real estate.
In order to make these aircraft pay their way you will see the likes of the showers removed (Singapore is already doing this) and extra seating put in. The advantage here is that seat/mile costs are reduced and the same overall yield can be achieved yet at lower fares.
Operators must be really suffering with this aircraft type. Emirates dispatch reliability with it is around 65% (sure it is a new type but it should be up on this by now). Qantas are bleeding with it. They are having to carry heaps of extra gas to cover the LAX to SYD depressurisation case. This is because the only pairings they can use are LAX /HNL and HNL/ SYD. This is because the likes of Faleolo and Nadi are unable to accommodate that size of aircraft) and means they have to carry extra gas to cover a decompression from halfway between HNL and SYD (west bound) and then fly at 14000 and 10000 ft until reaching either HNL or SYD. I have heard that they are carrying an extra 40 tonne over the 747 but that is unverified. It would not surprise me to see some of these aircraft parked up before long (under consideration by Virgin Atlantic). Emirates routinely arrive from SYD with less than 100 pax on board. Best I heard was 46 pax. Most airlines will put up with this until the type training requirements are met and then they will revisit the economics of the operation. Removal of the showers and increased seating is an indication that this is now underway. This is nothing new as we have seen this before in the industry. The 747 was marketed in the same way as the A380....a veritable flying hotel. The DC10 also had a first class lounge complete with swivel chairs and coffee tables. All marketing hype and as the world is run by accountants doomed to fail.
What we need is a 747 with an A380 style wing with derated Trent engines....now that would be a real winner.
Remember the 50-50-90 rule. Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there's a 90% probability you'll get it wrong!
